Two news items in this week's FT weekend have caught my eye. Firstly there is a full page article entitled "Pharma opens new front in war on cancer". The article is essentially suggesting that the big pharmas may be on the cusp of the biggest breakthrough in cancer therapy for decades, and goes on to describe how several companies including Bristol Myers Squibb, Roche, AstraZeneca, Merck and Glaxo are developing new block buster drugs which could be worth several billions of pounds in revenues should they prove successful.
First and foremost let's hope that most are successful, and that the breakthrough proves to be as exciting as oncologists believe it could be. These drugs could really open up a whole new front in the war on cancer, and potentially prolong and save the lives of many thousands of people.
From an investment point of view, if these companies are successful with their pipeline drugs then clearly their valuations will increase substantially by the boost to their earnings. However, there are a number of hurdles to overcome yet, and it's difficult to predict the potential winners from the also-rans.
It did get me thinking about a company I hold shares in though.
Angle at £35m, is a minnow in comparison to the pharmas mentioned above, but it's Parsortix device is potentially a pivotal tool in any big advances in fighting a whole range of cancers. A non-invasive (simple blood test) way of monitoring the effectiveness of existing and potential drugs (and combinations) in the war on cancer has got to be highly desirable.
A lack of newsflow in recent weeks has meant that Angle's share price has dipped from it's highs whilst the company awaits further feedback from Key Opinion Leaders. However, if the feedback for the Parsortix device continues to be favourable then I fully expect substantial sales to follow, and the share price to resume it's upward trajectory, although ultimately I expect the company to be bought out by one of the majors. Angle have already achieved CE approval for their device, and currently await FDA approval.
The FT Money section also includes a small article on insurance fraud. Most notable is a 34% rise this year in the number of bogus car insurance claims. In fact, motoring accounts for more than three-fifths of fraudulent insurance claims. How long before insurers insist on a Telematics black box in every car? Not long methinks. I'm hanging on tightly to my Trakm8 shares. Right place, at the right time? Here's hoping. Trakm8 is a profitable, cash generative company in a potentially explosive growth industry. The shares are very modestly priced given their prospects.
In a recent blog, I mentioned that buying shares in relatively illiquid small/micro-cap stocks required a "strong stomach" as price fluctuations are often quite severe. Trakm8 is a good example of this type of stock. In my experience, as a long term investor, if the story remains in tact, it's best just to buy and hold. The micro-caps of today can soon become the large-caps of tomorrow!!
Finally, talking of large -cap companies, John Lee has written a brief article in todays' FT and has mentioned that he recently bought shares in Morrison's based on a 6% yield, activist shareholder base and freehold property assets. John Lee is an excellent value investor and ISA millionaire.
If I was interested in an income based portfolio, I'd definitely be adding Morrison's, alongside Sainsbury's, Tesco, GlaxosmithKline and Direct Line. Quality companies which are highly unlikely to go bust anytime soon and pay dividends around the 5% mark.
Saturday, 31 May 2014
Avesco - interims due mid-June
Avesco should be reporting interim results around the middle of June. This is an even year which includes the Winter Olympics, the World Cup and the Commonwealth Games. These events should boost earnings, and hopefully expectations for the full year will be in-line with management guidance.
I do expect some exceptional costs associated with their recent restructuring, but this is a cash generative company valued at a substantial discount to NAV which currently pays a generous 5% dividend. What the market may also have overlooked is that Avesco recently bought back 30% of its share capital. This should substantially boost future earnings, and indeed dividend payouts. I expect a hike in the interim and final dividend distribution. Please see my reasoning from a previous blog:-
http://michae1mouse.blogspot.co.uk/2013/12/proposed-share-buy-back-and.html
Other recent news items from Avesco's website include "With CT around the world":-
http://www.ct-group.com/news/ct-around-world
"JVR and Creative Technology Holland Combine Their efforts:-
http://www.ct-group.com/news/%EF%BB%BF%EF%BB%BF%EF%BB%BFjvr-and-creative-technology-holland-combine-their-efforts
and
"CT Streamlines European Operational Structure":-
http://www.ct-group.com/news/ct-streamlines-european-operational-structure
For investors, it's worthwhile visiting their facebook page on a regular basis to keep abreast of the projects they are involved with on a global scale.
https://www.facebook.com/creativetechnologygroup
Avesco has been a fantastic investment for me since I first bought shares back in 2009. However, the company with a market cap. of less than £20m still looks incredibly cheap on all sorts of measures.
http://uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=charts&symbol=LSE%3AAVS
Please note that the sudden dip on the chart from over £2 to the current price relates to a special dividend payout to shareholders of £1.10 per share.
I do expect some exceptional costs associated with their recent restructuring, but this is a cash generative company valued at a substantial discount to NAV which currently pays a generous 5% dividend. What the market may also have overlooked is that Avesco recently bought back 30% of its share capital. This should substantially boost future earnings, and indeed dividend payouts. I expect a hike in the interim and final dividend distribution. Please see my reasoning from a previous blog:-
http://michae1mouse.blogspot.co.uk/2013/12/proposed-share-buy-back-and.html
Other recent news items from Avesco's website include "With CT around the world":-
http://www.ct-group.com/news/ct-around-world
"JVR and Creative Technology Holland Combine Their efforts:-
http://www.ct-group.com/news/%EF%BB%BF%EF%BB%BF%EF%BB%BFjvr-and-creative-technology-holland-combine-their-efforts
and
"CT Streamlines European Operational Structure":-
http://www.ct-group.com/news/ct-streamlines-european-operational-structure
For investors, it's worthwhile visiting their facebook page on a regular basis to keep abreast of the projects they are involved with on a global scale.
https://www.facebook.com/creativetechnologygroup
Avesco has been a fantastic investment for me since I first bought shares back in 2009. However, the company with a market cap. of less than £20m still looks incredibly cheap on all sorts of measures.
http://uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=charts&symbol=LSE%3AAVS
Please note that the sudden dip on the chart from over £2 to the current price relates to a special dividend payout to shareholders of £1.10 per share.
Wednesday, 28 May 2014
Belgravium Technologies and Avanti Communications
Belgravium Technologies have released an encouraging AGM trading statement this morning, alongside a contract win for around £420,000 with a European airline operator. Trading in the year to date is "significantly ahead of the equivalent period last year", although they also add that "it has commenced more slowly than anticipated". They also state that their new sales strategy has created a good deal of opportunity, and that the separately announced contract is in addition to an earlier contract win of £1.1m with First Great Western.
Significantly, cash flow looks strong and they now have £1.9m cash on the balance sheet which is similar to that prior to the Feedback acquisition.
Last year's earnings were around 0.4p, so if they are significantly ahead of this figure then the forward PE will be a single digit for 2014. Broker forecasts for the dividend payout, at 0.2p, would be double 2013's distribution, and amount to around 4.7% at the current share price.
I like these small, profitable and cash generative companies which can demonstrate good growth at a reasonable price. In fact BVM looks cheap to me.
http://www.londonstockexchange.com/exchange/news/market-news/market-news-detail.html?announcementId=11967696
http://www.londonstockexchange.com/exchange/news/market-news/market-news-detail.html?announcementId=11967603
In other news, Avanti Communications have announced yet another contract win.
Whilst an investment here is highly speculative, the quality and quantity of contract wins in recent weeks and months is very encouraging, and I intend to hold on and watch developments.
http://www.londonstockexchange.com/exchange/news/market-news/market-news-detail.html?announcementId=11967629
Significantly, cash flow looks strong and they now have £1.9m cash on the balance sheet which is similar to that prior to the Feedback acquisition.
Last year's earnings were around 0.4p, so if they are significantly ahead of this figure then the forward PE will be a single digit for 2014. Broker forecasts for the dividend payout, at 0.2p, would be double 2013's distribution, and amount to around 4.7% at the current share price.
I like these small, profitable and cash generative companies which can demonstrate good growth at a reasonable price. In fact BVM looks cheap to me.
http://www.londonstockexchange.com/exchange/news/market-news/market-news-detail.html?announcementId=11967696
http://www.londonstockexchange.com/exchange/news/market-news/market-news-detail.html?announcementId=11967603
In other news, Avanti Communications have announced yet another contract win.
Whilst an investment here is highly speculative, the quality and quantity of contract wins in recent weeks and months is very encouraging, and I intend to hold on and watch developments.
http://www.londonstockexchange.com/exchange/news/market-news/market-news-detail.html?announcementId=11967629
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