Sunday, 8 September 2013

Avation - a trading buy? and Belgravium Technologies


I might be missing something but Avation (AVAP) looks overlooked and extremely undervalued?

The company, which is essentially an aircraft procurement and leasing company, released their results at the end of August where they significantly beat market expectations with earnings of $23.25 per share or around 15p. This means that the shares are currently trading on a p/e ratio of around 6. The outlook for 2014 is very positive, and the company have just introduced their first dividend alongside plans for a progressive dividend policy. Directors have been helping themselves to the shares in the open market and the company appears to be highly cash generative.

The company boasts a NAV above the current market cap of around £40m, and whilst there is significant debt on the balance sheet given that it’s a capital intensive company, I do like everything else about them and have bought the shares.

Unusually for me I felt that this was a trading buy and believe the shares have possibly 50% or more upside in the short term.  This is based on a very reasonable 8/9 times this year’s 15p earnings.

As I said there may be something I have seriously overlooked, but the Director’s confidence suggests otherwise.

Belgravium Technologies also released their interim results on Wednesday, and I am encouraged by the narrative which hints at an improved performance for the full year, and cautious optimism for the future. The EPS figure for 2012 was 0.33p which puts the shares on a p/e ratio of 10.6. This looks cheap given any growth this year and in future years.  The company also pays a dividend around 3%. They have stated in the interims that a dividend is highly likely to be paid again this year given that cash generation is good, and despite having used funds for a recent acquisition. This is a long term hold for me and I have previously commented on BVM below:-


Needless to say, no advice is intended or given and please do your own research.

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