Sunday 4 May 2014

Ignore market conditions and take the long term view

Friday brought further good news for my holding in Trakm8 with the announcement it had been appointed the sole telematics supplier of self-install devices to Direct Line Group for the recently launched Direct Line DrivePlus Plug-in device. It was confirmation of the significant hardware order Trakm8 announced on 13 January 2014.

John Watkins, Executive Chairman of Trakm8 commented:
"This is a key milestone for Trakm8, as Direct Line Group launches a step-change in telematics for UK consumers. This proposition accelerates the awareness of telematics as an effective tool to improve driving skills and reduce fuel costs. We look forward to building on this relationship further as consumers adopt the Plug-in device."

Trakm8 continues to make excellent progress, and boasts a high percentage of recurring revenues which provide the financial stability from which the company can accelerate its growth.

The recent April trading statement was also very encouraging. The share price rose by 9% on Friday and the current market cap. is around £21m:-

http://michae1mouse.blogspot.co.uk/2014/04/trading-statement-trakm8.html

Avanti Communications also released news of a contract win on Friday with Avonline Broadband. This is a multi-million dollar contract extension, and follows on from a very encouraging rate of contract wins that the company has announced in recent months.

Whilst this is a speculative holding for me, the recent spate of newsflow fills me with cautious optimism, and I continue to hold the shares.

On a separate note, those of you who regularly read my blog will recognise that I am a long term holder of shares, and have very little interest in the general direction of the main indices, I am only ever interested in individual companies and whether or not they look cheap and are worthy of consideration. Buffet's recent letter to Berkshire's shareholder's is well worth reading if you haven't already:-

http://michae1mouse.blogspot.co.uk/2014/03/buffets-letter-to-shareholders.html

Particularly this line:-

"Forming macro opinions or listening to the macro or market predictions of others is a waste of time".

Consider this: in around 2002, all seemed lost in a group called Ashtead, and I distinctly remember watching the share price fall to 1.5p, and considered having a punt. However, I didn't, but did buy some later at 15p when the shares had already 10 bagged from this low point. I later sold the shares for a modest profit. Shares in Ashtead currently stand at £8.73. A £1000 investment at 1.5p would currently be worth £582,000, and at 15p £58,200. Not a bad return over 12 years I'd suggest. Financial crisis!! Who cares if you're a reasonable stock picker with a long term view?








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