Sunday, 15 November 2015

A safe investment?

Safeland is a micro-cap that has come to my attention this morning after they released their half-year results. It's not a company that I'm familiar with, but the half-year results look mightily impressive at first glance.

Turnover is up 61.1% at £12.5m. Profit before tax is £4.3m and up a massive 95.4% and they've introduced an interim dividend of 1.5p (2014: 0p). Net asset value per share is 106.0p against a current share price of 55.5p. The group has a current market cap. of around £9m. Cashflow was also impressive.
 
The outlook statement is non-committal for the full year, and for a tiny company they do carry a sizeable debt.
 
I'll leave it there since I don't really invest in this sector of the market, and this is not a company I am familiar with. The blog is simply a quick snapshot of my thoughts and observations. Some investors may like to investigate this company further.

Now here's a interesting little micro-cap company:-

Creightons

I thought I might mention them because from Paul Scott's small cap. value report, I notice that the company is presenting at an event called Mello Beckenham tonight.

The group describes itself as being made up of a select group of brands and companies specialising in the creation of high quality personal care and beauty products for the consumer and trade market.

It's a company that I have been monitoring for a while but as yet I've not been tempted to buy. On paper it looks cheap, and some micro-cap investors may be tempted. Personally, two things put me off a little. Firstly, they are operating in what I can only imagine is an extremely competitive market place, and secondly, despite a pretty good record of profitability, they don't appear to have paid any dividends. The company has been around since the early 90s.

Since 2011, EPS growth has been impressive. In fact 2011-2012, 2012-2013 and 2013-2014 growth rates were 38%, 55% and 60% respectively.

At the interim stage this year, the profitability of the continuing business is at similar levels to last year, although with the sale of "The Real Shaving Company", the diluted EPS figure has already exceeded last year's full year figure at 1.57p.

The balance sheet is impressive with tangible net asset value standing at £6.2m against a current market cap. of £5.2m. Cash on the balance sheet is around £1m. Debt is negligible.

Last year's EPS figure means that the shares stand on a lowly p/e of around 6 with that figure likely to fall even further this year. In fact, on all measures the company appears to be very cheap.

Investors might like to ignore the exceptional items that flattered the EPS figure last year, but you could easily argue that the company appears to be making exceptional gains a habit rather than a one-off.

The general narrative of the half-yearly report reads well, although one sentence does infer some management caution for the full year,

"We continue to be cautious regarding the underlying level of retail sales and continue to see the trend of consumers in the UK focussing on value.  This will present sales opportunities but may impact on margins."

Interestingly while writing this report I almost decided to buy a few shares before publishing. If they paid a dividend I almost certainly would have. Possibly one I might regret not having bought in future months? We shall see.

Friday, 13 November 2015

Brief updates on an otherwise quiet day

Today is a pretty quiet day in terms of news that interests me, although I can't help mentioning the pile of absolute rubbish that is the Aim listed DCD Media. Today's trading update says it all really:-

http://uk.advfn.com/news/UKREG/2015/article/69299053

The company should delist immediately since no sane investor is going to put money into this tripe. I won't waste any more time commenting on DCD's history, but amongst other articles that I've written you may find the following blog rather prophetic:-

http://michae1mouse.blogspot.co.uk/2015/04/fool-me-once-shame-on-you-fool-me-twice.html

Good riddance to DCD media hopefully. The shares are down 30% today, although in reality they are worthless.

Moving on. It's probably just coincidence, but I notice that two of my holdings have moved in opposite directions today. Avesco is down 3.5% whilst a fairly recent purchase Aeorema is up just over 7%. It briefly crossed my mind that Avesco is a potential suitor for Aeorema which would be quite a bargain at it's current market cap. Anyway, this is just idle musing on my part. Both companies are long term holds for me. Avesco and Aeorema provide a useful income stream. Avesco's  share price is backed by quality assets, Aeorema is debt free. I am hopeful that trading at both organisations will go from strength to strength.

Anybody who missed yesterday's RNS from Trakm8 should note that results will be released on Monday 23rd November. This is a week ahead of last year. In general companies don't rush to put out poor results, and so I am hopeful that Trakm8's results won't disappoint.

Audioboom appears to have reversed it's recent downward trend, and I expect they will issue a trading update in December as they did last year. The shares bounced back by 10% last night and are up a further 3% this morning.

Angle shares are up slightly this morning after a brief dip in price yesterday. The long term price chart from 2011-present looks strong with an uptrend clearly in tact.

Thursday, 12 November 2015

Avanti Communications

I can't quite get my head around Avanti's trading statement for Q1 2016 this morning. Is it encouraging or disappointing? As I have mentioned before Avanti is one of my speculative investments which hasn't really gone anywhere since I purchased shares in 2012 when they were around £2.60.

Something for bears and bulls I would suggest.

http://uk.advfn.com/news/UKREG/2015/article/69277463

On the positive side, they report sequential growth of 23.4% over the previous quarter, and that top-20 Customer Bandwidth Revenue Growth increased 57.5% a constant currency basis. Average Fleet Utilisation also appears to have improved to around 25%.

However, for the bears, revenues are flat at $13.7m when compared to the same period last year, and they have recorded an EBITDA loss of $2.9m. They explain this as follows:- "This was lower than Avanti's prevailing run rate of growth, due to a larger amount of equipment and government revenue in the previous year, which, although recurring, tends to be recognised on a non-linear basis."

Back to the positives. They state that strong growth is expected to continue throughout the remainder of 2016 and the period end cash balance was $219.3m.  They believe that cash balances will comfortably meet all of the company's medium-term financial commitments.

Rather surprisingly they mention that Facebook are one of their customers in Africa. I'd assumed that any tie-up with Facebook had long since disappeared.

From previous reports there is the potential for the company to generate EBITDA of $500m. That seems a long way off at the moment.

This is a speculative investment for me, and I have held for quite a while now. Whilst the trading statement doesn't blow me away, I'll stick with the shares and see how things develop from here.

XLMedia

I was about to conduct a critique of this company following a very positive trading statement this morning where they state that they will exceed current market expectations. The fundamentals look very strong. The shares are up by over 9% this morning. Sadly, I then noticed that they are based in Cyprus. I'm afraid that it's not for me. It's incredible the damage that 'bad eggs' have done to investor confidence in these overseas AIM listings. Good luck if you are invested, it looks great value on paper.

Triad

Triad is an interesting little micro-cap. The shares are up just over 7% this morning following interim results. Revenues and profits are up significantly at the half-way stage at 21% and 71%(albeit from a low base)  respectively. Revenue stands at £12.74m whilst profit after tax came in at £220,000.

The narrative in today's report reads well and in particular they appear to have an excellent client base. Encouragingly they say that their results are underpinned by long term client engagements.

The balance sheet looks ok, although cash looks tight at just £180,000 with a reported cash outflow at the half year of £183,000.  The company doesn't pay a dividend, and their outlook statement is  non-committal.

The shares have had an excellent run since the start of the year. At a current market cap. of around £5.5m some investors may wish to do some further research. I do not hold shares.